
Originally Posted by
vinomarky
Take your seismic model, complete with sealing faults and create a simple geologic model - assume constant perms/poro unless you know otherwise such that you get the appropriate level of drawdown for your known production rates
Make your simple simulation model and see what it tells you - It will inevitably be that you are withdrawing most fluid from the areas that have the most kh (ie most height with constant k assumption)
Edit: if you are next going to tell us that for whatever reason you cant build a simple model from the seismic model, then the best recommendation I can give is to find a crystal ball. There is always a certain baseline of information you require to be able to (gu)estimate with an accuracy that beats flipping a coin, and it sounds like you are pretty close to that limit.
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