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Originally Posted by
vickers65
Hi guys
When assessing plant (QRA) for toxic risk, we would ordinarily use the Probit function built into Shell SHEPHERD, in order to assess the lethal concentration (for 1% fatality). We generally use 30 minute exposure for 1% fatality, but currently we are trying to use the same probit function for a 12 hour exposure.
Does anyone have any past experience in this? It has been suggested to us that the function has limitations for longer durations, and as such a different function should be used. Can anyone help with suggestions, or point me to any relevant papers? I'm stuck for ideas.
Hope you can help.
YES WE CAN
Firstly, I strongly would not suggest to use 12hrs time exposure in a QRA for a numbers of reasons (mostly academics I would not bor here) but for sure you will result in very very little concentration corresponding to the specific Dangerous Toxic Load (DTL) and hence much larger impact distances.
Secondly, as you need ideas and papers I'll attach this from HSE UK (see attachments above).
Hope it helps
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