
Originally Posted by
Chee Koh Peh
Unfortunately this is more than meets the eye, particularly if the Gas Condensate reservoir is a retrograde reservoir and you are looking to model condensate production in the retrograde (liquid drop out) region. Well decline is a function of many parameters however is mainly influenced by: (1) reservoir drive mechanism, (2) relative permeability effects, (3) reservoir permeability, (4) well spacing and (5) well timing etc...
You get the drift here, it is unfortunately not straight forward particularly in the case of gas condensate reservoirs, however what you can do is look to a similar fields known as "analogues" that have similar reservoir and geological properties, see what the historical well declines are there and use those declines in your cashflow model. Importantly this gives you a "defensible" answer as to why you selected the well declines etc... you did.
Know this is probably not the answer you are looking for, but condensate reservoirs particularly retrograde condensate reservoirs are tricky.
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