QRA FOR LNG RECEIVING TERMINAL Table of Contents

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QUANTITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENT FOR LNG RECEIVING TERMINAL

Table of Contents Page
1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Background 1
1.2 Objectives 1
1.3 Scope of Work 1
1.4 Report Structure 2
2 SITE DESCRIPTION 1
2.1 Site Location and Layout 1
2.2 Main Operating Modes 2
2.2.1 LNG Composition 4
2.2.2 Main Flows in the Terminal 4
2.2.3 Main Process Description 5
2.3 Weather 6
2.4 Population 8
2.5 Ignition Sources 10
2.5.1 Data Required 10
2.5.2 Identification of Ignition Sources 11
3 STUDY METHODOLOGY 14
3.1 Definitions 14
3.2 Key Components in a QRA Study 15
3.3 Risk Criteria 20
3.3.1 On-site Risk Criteria 20
3.3.2 Off-site Risk Criteria 22
4 RISK ANALYSIS 25
4.1 Hazard Identification 25
4.2 Failure Case Selection 26
4.3 Frequency Estimation 29
4.3.1 Generic Data 29
4.3.2 Leak Hole Size Determination & Frequency Estimation 30
4.4 Consequence and Impact Analysis 33
4.4.1 Leak Duration Determination 33
4.4.2 Release Modelling 35
4.4.3 Possible Consequence Outcomes 38
4.4.4 Worst Credible Scenarios 50
5 FLARE HAZARD ANALYSIS 51
5.1 Flare Hazard Analysis 51
5.2 Thermal Radiation 53
5.3 Burning Rain 54
5.4 Flammable Gas Dispersion 54
6 RISK RESULT AND ASSESSMENT 58
6.1 Phase I Construction 58
6.1.1 Individual Risks 58
6.1.2 On-Site Potential Individual Risk (IRPA) 59
6.1.3 Societal Risks 61
6.2 Phase II Construction 63
6.2.1 Individual Risks 63
6.2.2 On-Site Potential Individual Risk (IRPA) 63
6.2.3 Societal Risks 65
7 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 67
7.1 Phase I Construction 67
7.1.1 Risk Results of Dormitory for Night Shift after relocation 67
7.1.2 Risk Results of the Integration Building after relocation 68
7.2 Phase II Construction 69
7.2.1 Risk Results of Dormitory for Night Shift after relocation 69
7.2.2 Risk Results of the Integration Building after relocation 70
7.2.3 Risk results of the Metering Station after relocation 70
7.2.4 Risk Results of the Metering Station with an anti-Blast Wall in place 72
8 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 75
8.1 Results 75
8.2 Recommendation for Improvements 76
8.3 Conclusion 78
9 REFERENCES 95